Sijongana njani nokunyuswa kwamaxabiso e-US?

Ngo-2018, urhwebo lwamazwe ngamazwe lwangena kwixesha lokukhusela urhwebo.

NgoJanuwari, urhulumente wase-US wagqiba ekubeni abeke iirhafu eziphezulu zokukhusela ekungeniswa kweepaneli zelanga kunye noomatshini bokuhlamba, kwaye ngoFebruwari, iSebe lezoRhwebo lase-US ekugqibeleni lagqiba ukunyanzelisa imisebenzi ephezulu yokulahla kunye nokuphikisana nokungeniswa kwe-aluminium foil yaseTshayina. NgoMatshi uTumpump wachaza i-25% yentlawulo kwintsimbi ethunyelwa ngaphandle kunye ne-10% yentlawulo kwi-aluminium, iphosa ibhomu ye-blockbuster kwintengiso yamazwe ngamazwe kunye neemarike zemali zehlabathi.

Iyintoni impembelelo yemfazwe yase-US yentsimbi kunye ne-aluminium yorhwebo e-China?

Nangona iChina ingoyena mvelisi mkhulu wentsimbi ehlabathini, ethatha phantse isiqingatha semveliso yentsimbi yehlabathi, kodwa ukuthunyelwa ngokuthe ngqo kwentsimbi eUnited States kuncinci kakhulu. Ngo-2017, ukuthunyelwa kweemveliso zetsimbi ezigqityiweyo kungaphantsi kweetoni ze-1 yezigidi, kubalwa malunga ne-3.2% ye-US epheleleyo yentsimbi, ukuthunyelwa ngaphandle kwe-semi-finished ayinkulu, kwaye i-Marike yase-US ithumela iimveliso zetsimbi e-China. Umlinganiselo nawo uyehla.

Kodwa iChina inokugqiba ukunika abathengi baseMelika iimveliso zentsimbi ngakumbi ngamatyathanga exabiso lehlabathi kunokuthunyelwa ngokuthe ngqo kwamanye amazwe. Umzekelo, i-60% yentsimbi yaseMzantsi Korea isuka e-China, kunye ne-12% yentsimbi yayo ethunyelwa e-United States, ngoko ke ukuba i-United States ibeka iirhafu eziphezulu kwiimpahla zentsimbi ezivela eMzantsi Korea, ngokuqinisekileyo ziya kuchaphazela ukuthengiswa kwentsimbi yaseMzantsi Korea ukusuka. eTshayina. Ukuze kugcinwe ikhonkco lemveliso yehlabathi, i-China kufuneka ichase ngokusebenzayo ukukhusela unilateralism e-US.

Abavelisi baseTshayina banokuphendula njani?

Iirhafu eziphezulu ezibekwe yi-United States kushishino lwentsimbi kunye ne-aluminium zinempembelelo encinci ethe ngqo kwi-China, kodwa ngamatyathanga exabiso lehlabathi kunye nempindezelo yorhwebo enokwenzeka ngamanye amazwe, kunye nomvelisi omkhulu wentsimbi waseChina, impembelelo embi yesiganeko kwi-China. imboni yentsimbi kunye ne-aluminiyam ayinakujongelwa phantsi.

Xa sijongana nomthamo wehlabathi jikelele kunye nokukhula kwengxabano yorhwebo, urhulumente waseTshayina uya kuqhubeka egxininisa umthamo, ngakumbi kwintsimbi yentsimbi eveliswa ngamashishini amancinci akumgangatho ophantsi. I-rebound kumaxabiso esinyithi iya kugubungela imeko yomthamo ogqithisileyo, kwaye wenze zonke iintlobo zentsimbi yokuvelisa amandla ngokutsha, urhulumente ngokuqinisekileyo uya kuma ngokuqinileyo kumthamo wemveliso yentsimbi, okanye kwiminyaka embalwa ezayo ngenxa yeemfazwe zorhwebo ezikhokelele ekunciphiseni. kwimfuno yokuthunyelwa kwentsimbi kwamanye amazwe, ingxaki yokugqithiswa kwamandla iya kuba yinto evelele ngakumbi.

Isicwangciso sikaTrump sokumisela iirhafu eziphezulu kwintsimbi kunye ne-aluminium, kunye nokuthatha "akukho mahluko" unyango kungakhathaliseki ukuba ukhululwe kulo naliphi na ilizwe, sele libangele ukunganeliseki kwelizwe kwaye kunokwenzeka ukuba kubangele impindezelo yi-EU kunye nabanye abathengisi bentsimbi kunye ne-aluminium. Xa uthetha-thethwano ukuziphindezela kwezorhwebo namanye amazwe, iChina kufuneka yamkele "eyahlukeneyo" kunye nenkcaso ejoliswe kuyo kwi-unilateralism yase-US, igweme ukwanda kwemfazwe yorhwebo ukuze ibuhlungu, kwaye ifake uxinzelelo kwi-Trump ngokusebenzisa i-US steel kunye ne-aluminium yokusetyenziswa kweshishini, ukunyanzela i-United States ukuba yeka ukukhuselwa kwentlawulo kwintsimbi kunye ne-aluminiyam ngokukhawuleza.